On the hypothesis that Jesus was God incarnate (HI), how surprising is it that he would predict his imminent death and vindication?
On the ~HI, how surprising is it that he would predict his imminent death and vindication?
On the resurrection hypothesis (R), how surprising is it that Jesus would predict his imminent death and vindication?
On ~R, how surprising is it that Jesus would predict his imminent death and vindication?
A worry I have is that these predictions also support certain naturalistic hypotheses that need to generate expectations for the resurrection. (This naturalistic hypothesis can be ruled out for other reasons, but his predictions may be evidence in favor of it).
It seems to me that correct predictions are strong evidence that Jesus was divine, but that already seemingly bakes the resurrection into the proverbial cake. It also seems to me that a prediction simpliciter “charges” the religious context to make us take the evidence for this resurrection a bit more seriously, but I haven’t figured out how exactly that's going to work probabilistically.
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